Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 6.451232 7.522612 8.681292 10.023193 11.529994 13.165201 15.069323
2025-12-28 5.091025 6.535105 8.216815 10.302929 12.803063 15.684400 19.236192
2026-01-04 4.247557 5.873891 7.877791 10.493542 13.779563 17.730745 22.796636
2026-01-11 3.591452 5.302217 7.515756 10.532717 14.473930 19.379784 25.871312
2026-01-18 2.967819 4.665669 6.966791 10.231776 14.652256 20.328714 28.053271
2026-01-25 2.495797 4.163346 6.523284 9.997288 14.854743 21.267273 30.210627
2026-02-01 2.102997 3.717118 6.098732 9.729188 14.960470 22.044916 32.149395
2026-02-08 1.784523 3.337620 5.723342 9.482667 15.054478 22.780312 34.028296
2026-02-15 1.504550 2.979107 5.336978 9.175348 15.021735 23.313622 35.623291
2026-02-22 1.346681 2.802348 5.211965 9.244544 15.529033 24.611198 38.312244
2026-03-01 1.202958 2.630006 5.074050 9.275547 15.968891 25.816310 40.898793
2026-03-08 1.085550 2.489093 4.972288 9.350512 16.469982 27.118872 43.657711
2026-03-15 0.968003 2.333853 4.833711 9.357773 16.869960 28.295669 46.291149
2026-03-22 0.902423 2.272348 4.853578 9.629211 17.699533 30.146127 49.977851
2026-03-29 0.831169 2.188853 4.824107 9.809753 18.384453 31.793310 53.404540
2026-04-05 0.749720 2.071479 4.719098 9.846833 18.828648 33.076362 56.311418
2026-04-12 0.641729 1.877748 4.447442 9.562045 18.712013 33.466160 57.851770
2026-04-19 0.554255 1.716272 4.221367 9.340202 18.683780 33.985136 59.595525
2026-04-26 0.475083 1.560477 3.989341 9.086626 18.580806 34.370591 61.130229
2026-05-03 0.407837 1.422024 3.777785 8.853522 18.495987 34.774005 62.694615
2026-05-10 0.345057 1.282496 3.547405 8.563018 18.287081 34.955909 63.898452
2026-05-17 0.314113 1.226164 3.496491 8.628418 18.729396 36.240761 66.920106
2026-05-24 0.283971 1.166314 3.430926 8.657723 19.103058 37.417067 69.790688